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Posts Tagged ‘Debt’

Greek Euro exit unlikely

May 12, 2011 1 comment

Greece cannot exit the Euro. Greece does not want to exit the Euro. Greece will not exit the Euro. Just think about what would happen if Greece did.

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The crisis of credit Visualized

September 9, 2009 Leave a comment

Now, this is simple enough for anyone to understand. Perhaps even Greenspan and Bernanke can get it now and try to avoid similar mistakes again. Just thought I’d share this video, which is absolutely spot on, as I’ve been criticising the reappointment of Bernanke lately.

The Crisis of Credit Visualized

Categories: Debt Tags: , ,

Crisis will happen again, it’s human nature

September 9, 2009 Leave a comment

It is human nature that will make sure another crisis will happen again, according to Mr Alan Greenspan, the former head of Federal Reserve, in a recent interview with BBC. I couldn’t agree more. However, I think we differ on what part of human nature will be more responsible for the crisis.
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It’s the debt – stupid!

Some stats from the Swedish experience in early 90s. Bad loans 12% of GDP. Total loan losses 10%. GDP contraction 6% over 3 years. House prise fall 20%. Depreciation of SEK 30%. Unemployment in double digits. Stocksmarket halved. Consumer debt to GDP 40%.
Looks roughly like what we’re experiencing right now, with a couple of very important differences. 1) The crisis now is global, back then it was regional. Sweden could devalue and export itself out of a recession. 2) Consumer debt to GDP is now well above 100% in for example US & UK. Read more…

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